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TarheelRed's rumours posts with other poster's replies to TarheelRed's rumours posts
06 Dec 2014 11:23:49
Depending on who the Reds think they can re-sign, make the following trade with Arizona:
Mat Latos for OF David Peralta and minor league RP Jake Barrett
-or-
Mike Leake for Peralta and minor league RP Jimmy Sherfy
1.) Not enough going to the Reds
2.) 06 Dec 2014 16:03:00
Latos and Leake don't really make sense for the D-Backs. Their contracts are both up after next year, and the D-backs aren't contending any time soon.
02 Dec 2014 11:27:32
Reds-Mariners trade:
SP Mike Leake and OF Chris Heisey (after tendered) for P Tyler Pike, 3B Patrick Kivlehan and OF Michael Saunders
Mariners get innings eater and a RH'ed hitting RF. Reds use Saunders in LF (or move Frazier to LF if Kivlehan deemed ready for 3B)
27 Nov 2014 11:26:12
With the signing of Yasmani Tomas, the D-Backs are flush with outfielders. Propose the following trade
Diamondbacks send OF AJ Pollack and P's Daniel Hudson, Jake Barrett to Reds for P's Mike Leake and Ismael Guillon
D-Backs: Leake "comes home" as he pitched at Arizona State. Ender Inciarte remains in CF, with Mark Trumbo in LF and Tomas in RF. David Peralta available as 4th OF and this trade keeps their SS surplus intact to pursue other options
Reds: Pollack goes to LF and bats second in lineup, Hudson goes into rotation or bullpen, depending on progress of Tony Cingrani, Barrett goes to AAA, Most importantly, clearing Leake's salary allows the Reds to extend Cueto or Latos
1.) I could see the D-Backs dealing Trumbo rather than Pollock. A team such as Seattle would be a good fit.
17 Nov 2014 10:26:51
Reds - Rangers trade:
SP Homer Bailey and OF Chris Heisey to Texas for 3B/LF Ryan Rua, P's Alec Asher and Corey Knebel and PTBNL
Rangers get a LF'er who needs a change of scenery and a quality starting pitcher. Reds put Rua in LF and Knebel in bull pen
1.) IMO, the Reds will do much better if they choose to deal Bailey.
15 Nov 2014 11:33:04
The more I listen to Walt Jocketty talk, the more I am convinced that he has no clue how to operate a small-market team financially. Remember, he is directly responsible for the long term contracts for both Joey Votto and Homer Bailey, totaling $330M. I believe the Reds will go one of two ways this off season. either trade one of their starting pitchers to try to improve the current team or (and lately I think this is becoming more likely) trade several players and start over. With these options in mind I propose
Option #1 - Braves/Reds trade:
SP Homer Bailey to the Braves for OF Justin Upton
This solves the LF issue and provides Reds with payroll relief in the future (initially Upton would be slightly more expensive than Bailey, but the move would save the Reds between $68-88M). The Braves pick up a quality starter who can eat innings and still fits in their payroll.
Option #2 - trade Latos, Phillips, Chapman, Bailey and Votto (if you can find anyone who would be able to take on his contract) for a bevy of prospects. Since Jocketty insists on sinking the ship either way, at least this option would be far more financially responsible
1.) If you are saying trade all those guys in one trade. They would probably only get what the Marlins got in the deal with Toronto. If not, then they could get more overall. But to trade Votto they may not get much if they aren't willing to eat some of the contract or a large portion of it. Same with Bailey.
2.) No, I'm not saying to trade all them in one trade. The Reds would get much more value back if they traded all these players (and maybe more) piecemeal. Trading Votto would be very difficult since he is still owed nine years. However, I think it would be much easier to move Bailey. A quality starting pitcher always has value, even one owed $106M
3.) How about Votto for Bautista, straight up? Yes, Votto has more value, but he also is owed more money.
4.) ^I would do that trade in a second and have suggested it a few times. I'm sure the Blue Jays would like to have the home town guy, but not his huge contract (remember they have a team policy against contracts longer than five years). If Toronto would consider acquiring Votto the Reds would probably have to kick in some cash or a prospect, but I would still do it. Ridding themselves of his contract would enable the team to fill ALL their needs, both short and long term
5.) Votto for Bautista? Are you kidding??
If the Reds trade Votto, it won't be a for 34-year-old outfielder. It will be for a massive amount of prospects. When healthy, Votto is one of the best first basemen in the game.
But the Reds aren't going anywhere. If they can bring in a decent corner outfielder and have healthy players, they can compete. it's like the Rangers. no need to sell the team. sell the athletic trainer.
6.) No, I am not kidding. The contract that Jocketty gave Votto and Bailey have already begun to and will entirely cripple the Reds for several years to come. The Reds simply cannot pay two guys $20M+ each and hope to compete. Making things even worse is they will be paying Votto these huge sums for the next nine seasons! Small market teams just can't do that and still field a contending team
7.) Cincinnati is hardly a small market team.
There is a huge Reds fan base every place I've ever lived, most of it started in the 70s around the Big Red Machine.
That being said. it's an idiotic trade. When healthy, Votto is one of the best 1B in the game. He's their franchise player. you don't give up your franchise guy. you protect him.
8.) Check your facts. Cincinnati has the smallest population of any Major League city. True, they do draw from a large area (southern Ohio, northern Kentucky, southern Indiana), but their attendance has never come close to 3 million like many large market team regularly draw, and that includes during the hay days of the Big Red Machine.
According to a market analysis done by MLB, Cincy has the fifth smallest market in terms of home city/metropolitan area population and surrounding market area. The only other teams in the majors with a smaller market were Kansas City, Oakland, Milwaukee and Tampa Bay.
As for the payroll, the Reds can certainly afford to pay both Votto and Bailey in excess of $20M per year or they would not have agreed to do so. However, paying out that much for just two players cripples your team's chances to sign free agents, make trades or even keep the talent you have as they mature and become more and more expensive. I bear no ill will toward Votto or Bailey (other than the fact that Votto hasn't been healthy in three years), I simply maintain that the Reds cannot continue paying them huge amounts and hope to contend. My opinion
TarheelRed's banter posts with other poster's replies to TarheelRed's banter posts
05 Nov 2014 09:59:49
How does DJ LeMahieu win the Gold Glove over Brandon Phillips? In a season where LeMahieu made four more errors than Phillips (6 to 2) and had a lower fielding percentage (.996 to .991) this vote is an absolute joke, especially when you figure in that Phillips has the best range of any 2B in baseball. And he just passed Ryne Sandberg as the best fielding percentage for 2B i'm MLB history at .990. It really makes you wonder what the voters are looking at?
20 Feb 2014 22:27:44
As a Reds fan, I am very concerned with Homer Bailey's new contract. I'm glad they have him under control going into what should be his prime, I just don't know where the money comes from, especially when you consider the following:
Reds five-man rotation (Cueto, Latos, Bailey, Cingrani and Leake) cost $20. 6M in 2013. In 2014 the same five will cost $33. 5 and in 2015, who knows?
Latos and Leake will both be 3rd-year arb eligible and looking for hefty raises from the $7. 25M and $5. 925 they made in '14. Cueto has a $10M option and Cingrani will be somewhere in the $2M range (if the Reds follow the pattern they have with the other starters). Bailey goes to $10M, making the rotation's total approx. $39-40M.
Plus, you have guaranteed contracts for Votto, Bruce, Phillips, Marshall and Broxton. PLUS arbitration eligible players coming up in Frazier, Mesoraco, Cozart, Chapman, LeCure and Hoover. PLUS a handful of other guys, all of which must be paid. All together this pushes the payroll WAY north of $100M, something the Reds have never had before. Where will the money come from?
06 Feb 2014 02:55:28
How can Brandon Phillips be left off MLB Network's Top 10 Second Basemen Right Now! I agree he is not number one overall, but he is an accomplished offensive 2B (he has hit 18+ homers for at least four straight years) and he did drive in 103 runs last year, most of which he played with a bruised wrist. Defensively he is without peer. He gets to balls that all other 2B can only watch go into the outfield and he has a strong and accurate arm. Number one, no, but top ten absolutely!
1.) I agree with you. I didn't see the episode for 2B, but whoever they placed ahead of Phillips is a joke. I would rank him somewhere in the three-to-six range. It seems like MLB Network does not put any value on any player in a Reds uniform except Joey Votto.
2.) As a Reds fan I have also noticed a general lack of respect for the team. Granted the Reds have several players who are not ready to contend for top ten yet (Frazier, Cozart, Mesoraco) but the "big three" of Votto, Bruce and Phillips don't seem to get much notice
31 Jan 2014 12:03:01
What is everyone opinion of sabremetrics? Personally I don't put much stock in it for two reasons. One - baseball is so stat driven you can make stats say just about anything. This WAR thing that everybody talks about means absolutely nothing to me. I look at OPS+ (on base + slugging) to evaluate hitters and that's about it. And I get a kick out of supposed expert who insist that wins are not an important pitching stat. What?
Secondly, I think the "eye test" is a much better way to look at players. I believe what I see much more than what some computer tells me.
Thoughts?
1.) To borrow a phrase from "The Big Bang Theory" I think sabremetrics is largely hocum
2.) Could not agree more! MLB survived just fine for 140+ years before all the sabermetric garbage came into being and will continue to do just fine long after this fad has gone away.
22 Jan 2014 13:01:19
I saw a report on TV that the Giants are "elated" about the new slimmer Pablo Sandoval. Right! He does this every year. He comes into spring training as the "Kung-Fu Panda" and ends the season as the "Kung-Pow Polar Bear!"
1.) Well he's in a lot better shape than those other years.
2.) It's called hibernation.
While I agree that Span could play LF, I don't see this trade happening due to the finances. Trading Leake for Span would be a wash as far as payroll goes and I don't think that what the Reds are looking for
How about Latos for Trumbo straight up?
Does the "JV" stand for junior varsity? This proposal is just plain dumb for both teams
Quotes about Moya from scouting reports:
"has impressive tools, but has had problems turning them into baseball skills."
"gets himself out way too often by chasing pitches out of the strike zone"
"repeatedly looks foolish against off speed stuff"
"looks rough in the outfield. He gets poor jumps, making fly balls and adventure."
"destined to be a DH, if/when he makes it to the majors"
The Reds are the best defensive teams in the majors for a reason. Moya struck out 179 times in the minors. Not a player the Reds could use.
The Reds and Tigers do not match up well for a trade, even if the Reds decide to move Jay Bruce. All the scouting reports I have read on Moya list him as a below average player who, unless his approach changes, will have a hard time making it to the majors to stay
Kemp - Seattle for Roenis Elias and Chris Taylor
Upton - could be Cincy for Latos, but doubt the Reds would add to payroll
CarGo - nowhere, the Rockies are too bullheaded to make this needed trade
Hamels - Red Sox for Mookie Betts and Yoenis Cespedes (and don't give the standard line that they will not trade Betts. They are that desperate for starting pitching)
Kendrick - don't think he will be traded
Cespedes - see Hamels trade
Holland - not traded
Latos - would rather trade Leake and extend Latos
Wieters - not traded until he proves healthy
Castro - Dodgers (they seems to like lazy/moody shortstops)
Predictions for next season in November? Okay, here goes.
1. MLB will expand by two teams, adding the Edmonton Oilers and Harlem Globetrotters
2. The Phillies will finish next season at 120-42 and sweep the Globetrotters in the World Series, shooting 50% from beyond the 3-point line
3. Capitalizing on his new found popularity, Rueben Amaro runs for and wins the U. S. presidency a full year before the election
These predictions have just as much chance of happening as any of yours, a full 4 months before the start of next season.
He stays in San Fran. The Giants brass has already stated that letting him go would be a huge public relations/marketing blunder. For this reason alone they pony up with a 5-yr $105M contract
1. Scherzer - Orioles will let both Cruz and Markakis walk so they can finally settle their rotation woes (2nd option - Red Sox)
2. Lester - Rangers are desperate for starting pitching and will overpay for him (2nd option - Red Sox)
3. Shields - Cubs get him due to his familiarity with Maddon (2nd option - Orioles)
4. Ramirez - Dodgers resign him because other teams want him at 3B, which he refuses to do (2nd option - Yankees)
5. Sandoval - Giants, in post-game #7 interview stated that letting him go would be a marketing nightmare (2nd option - none)
6. Martinez - Brewers as a dark horse team (2nd option - Tigers)
7. Tomas - Phillies, if they can move Brown to clear space (2nd option - Rangers)
8. Cabrera - Blue Jays resign as many other teams simply not interested (2nd option - BioGenesis lab as a technician)
9. Martin - Cubs will upgrade cather position and leadership in clubhouse 92nd option - Pirates)
10. Cruz - Mariners sign him to a four-year deal as they are in need of a RH'ed bat (2nd option - Rangers)
I promise you, the Reds will not sign Colby Rasmus. He has the reputation as a selfish and un-coachable player, which the Reds will not add to their clubhouse. I think most of your predictions are fairly plausible, except for Russell Martin. I see him going to the Cubs or White Sox, as both teams are in need of an upgrade behind the plate.